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Poll No. 169
Jan 01, 2010

The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted in Gaza Strip revealed that:

(57.6 %) are in favor of the stay of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) in his office as President of the Palestinian Authority up till the holding of the next presidential elections.

(67.5 %)  are in favor of concluding a peace agreement with Israel.

(82.1 %)  believe that the Egyptian document is a good ground for the reconciliation.  
 
(59.1 %)  believe that the origin of the dispute between Fateh and Hamas is a political one.

(40.2 %) agree at various extents that Hamas is giving the Palestinian reconciliation an important priority on the top of its agenda.

(69.7 %) have at various extents confidence in the public opinion polls.

(51.2 %) evaluated their economical situation as “bad”.

(48.7 %) believe that the announcement of President Mahmoud Abbas of his unwillingness to run in the presidential elections is a maneuver.

(46.2 %) are in favor of Hamas participation in the next elections.

Beit Sahour – The Public Relations Section

The most recent poll drafted by Dr. Nabil Kukali and published by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion on February 1st, 2010 included a random sample of (1450) respondents representing all the demographic spectrum of the residents of Gaza Strip at the age of (18) years and older. The poll results revealed that a clear majority of the Palestinians, specifically (57.6 %), are in favor of the stay of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) in his office as President of the Palestinian Authority up till the holding of the next presidential elections.

In his comments on the poll findings, Dr. Nabil Kukali, Director-General of the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion, said that a considerable rate, representing almost half of Gaza residents, believe that the announcement of President Mahmoud Abbas of his unwillingness to run in the presidential elections is a maneuver and that the dispute between Fateh and Hamas is fundamentally of political origin. Dr. Kukali added that the Palestinian public is of the opinion that only the serious negotiations represent the solid ground of ending the Palestinian schism and recovering the unity of the Palestinian people. “(82.1 %) of the Palestinian society in Gaza consider the Egyptian document as a good basis for a reconciliation and a settlement of the internal Palestinian dispute”, Dr. Kukali said. Furthermore, he referred to the finding that there is a certain optimism in the Palestinian street, represented by (57.5 %) of the respondents, for the possibility of reaching an agreement between the two major political factions in the course of the coming few weeks.

In addition, Dr. Kukali illustrated that the poll findings clearly show the resolve of the Palestinian people in Gaza Strip to encounter the risks and challenges that face the Palestinian national scheme of ending the internal Palestinian division, reinstate the union between the West Bank and Gaza Strip, start a serious national dialogue that puts an end to the conflict flaming up between Fateh and Hamas on the Palestinian landscape, take as basis the results of the national references that are reached in March last year to sign the Egyptian Paper as to escape the present impasse and run free and fair elections.

Dr. Kukali further said that the overwhelming majority of the Palestinian public, namely (75.3 %), are against Hamas decision preventing the National Labor Corporation in Gaza Strip from commemorating the 5th anniversary of the death of the national leader Yassir Arafat (Abu Ammar) and added that (71.2 %) of the Palestinians in Gaza also oppose Hamas decision of closing the offices of the Central Committee for Elections in Gaza Strip and preventing CCE from preparing for the general elections constitutionally scheduled for January 24th, 2010.

The head of PCPO further commented that in spite of the unutterable hardship the Palestinians in Gaza are suffering at present and the deterioration of their economic situation, but a significant majority of them still support a peace deal with Israel and are in favor of resuming the peace talks between Palestinians and Israelis. The international community, the European Union and the international Quartette are therefore asked to expedite the lifting of the siege from Gaza Strip, start rebuilding it and exert genuine pressure on Israel as to abide by the conditions of the international Quartette, to halt the settlement activities and to resume immediately the peace talks from the point these were interrupted in Olmert’s government in order to reach a fair and comprehensive solution, with which all parties will be content.

Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

Q 1. Some people believe the announcement of President Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) that he is unwilling to run in the coming Palestinian Authority presidential elections is an irrefutable decision. Others believe that’s just an election maneuver, whilst other people believe that its aim is to exert pressure on Israel and the United States. Which of these is the closest to your opinion? 

Response

Percentage

 1. It’s an irrefutable decision

25.0

 2. It’s an election maneuver

48.7

 3. It’s for exerting pressure on Israel and the US

24.2

 4. I don’t know / refused

2.1

Q 2. Whom, do you think, should be held responsible for not putting an end to the conflict between Hamas and Fatah?

Response

Percentage

 1. Hamas

40.8

 2. Fatah

12.5

 3. Both of them

42.6

 4. I don’t know

4.1

Q 3. Do you expect the conclusion of an agreement between Hamas and Fatah within the next weeks?

Response

Percentage

 1. Absolutely

1.8

 2. Likely

24.6

 3. Possible

31.1

 4. Unlikely

19.7

 5. Absolutely not

18.9

 6. I don’t know

3.9

Q 4. Do you think that the Palestinian citizen in Gaza Strip enjoys human rights?

Response

Percentage

 1. To a great degree  

4.4

 2. To a mediocre degree

20.8

 3. To a slight degree

70.8

 4. I don’t know / refused

4.0

Q 5. What do you think is the origin of the dispute between Fatah and Hamas? Is it of a political or religious nature?

Response

Percentage

 1. Political

59.1

 2. Religious

6.8

 3. Both

24.0

 4. None of them

7.4

 5. Don’t know

2.7

Q 6. Hamas refused to sign the Egyptian Reconciliation Paper and end the dispute with Fatah due to:

Response

Percentage

 1. External pressure

27.5

 2. Inconformity with Hamas interests

42.0

 3. Differences inside Hamas itself

13.4

 4. Procrastination and gaining time in order to enforce the status quo

16.9

 5. Don’t know

0.2

Q 7.  Do you think the Egyptian Paper was adequate for reconciling both adverse parties and ending the Palestinian schism?

Response

Percentage

 1. Yes, in a very good manner

28.6

 2. Yes, in somewhat good manner

53.5

 3. No, in somewhat bad manner

13.1

 4. No, in a very bad manner

3.9

 5. Don’t know

0.9

Q 8. What do you think is the best way for ending the Palestinian schism and achieving the reunion of the Palestinian people?

Response

Percentage

 1. Serious negotiations

48.1

 2. Abiding by the partisan neutrality

20.1

 3. Stand back from external pressures

23.6

 4. Build up the state assets and institutions

5.8

 5. Other (please specify: ___________________)

1.7

 6. Don’t know

0.7

Q 9. What do you think, generally, is more important: the Palestinian reconciliation and, subsequently, the end of the Palestinian schism, or the opening of the border crossings?

Response

Percentage

 1. The reconciliation and the end of the schism

74.4

 2. Opening the border crossings

23.9

 3. Don’t know

1.7

Q 10. What is more important from your point of view: the Palestinian reconciliation or the negotiations with Israel for achieving peace and the establishment of the Palestinian State with Jerusalem its capital?

Response

Percentage

 1. The reconciliation

51.1

 2. The negotiations

10.5

 3. Both are equal

36.3

 4. Don’t know

2.1

Q 11. Do you agree to or oppose Hamas option of accepting a ten-years-truce against the establishment of a temporary Palestinian state?

Response

Percentage

 1. Strongly agree

13.7

 2. Somewhat agree

26.5

 3. Somewhat oppose

17.1

 4. Strongly oppose

30.3

 5. I don’t know

12.4

Q 12. Who, in your opinion, should be held accountable for the daily human-life losses as a result of the collapses of the underground tunnels at the Palestinian-Egyptian borders?

Response

Percentage

 1. Hamas

52.1

 2. Egypt

22.4

 3. The Palestinian Authority in Ramallah   

7.6

 4. Don’t know

17.9

Q 13. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose that Hamas puts the Palestinian reconciliation and the ending of the dispute with Fateh as the utmost important priority at the top of its agenda?

Response

Percentage

 1. Strongly agree

15.5

 2. Somewhat agree

23.4

 3. Somewhat oppose

17.5

 4. Strongly oppose

30.1

 5. Don’t know

13.4

Q 14. Do you agree to or oppose Hamas’ decision of prohibiting the National Labor Corporation in Gaza Strip from commemorating the 5th anniversary of the death of the national leader, Late Yassir Arafat (Abu Ammar)?

Response

Percentage

 1. Agree to

15.6

 2. Oppose

75.3

 3. I don’t know

9.1

Q 15. Who, according to your opinion, is benefiting most from the underground tunnels excavated at the Egyptian-Palestinian borders?

Response

Percentage

 1. Hamas

49.7

 2. The deposed government

15.3

 3. The people

26.4

 4. Don’t know

8.6

Q 16. What is better in your opinion: opening the border crossings between Gaza Strip and the Palestinian Territories via Israel or maintaining the underground tunnels to bring in to the people the necessary goods and articles?

Response

Percentage

 1. Opening the border crossings

93.4

 2. The underground tunnels

3.9

 3. Don’t know

2.7

Q 17. Are you in favor of a long truce with Israel or in favor of a peace deal?

Response

Percentage

 1. Truce         

24.8

 2. Peace deal

67.0

 3. Don’t know

8.2

Q 18.  Do you favor or oppose Hamas prohibition of women riding motorcycles with men?

Response

Percentage

 1. Favor

67.5

 2. Oppose

22.2

 3. Don’t know

10.3

Q 19. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the deposed Prime Minister, Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh?

Response

Percentage

 1. Strongly satisfied

13.9

 2. Somewhat satisfied

17.7

 3. Somewhat dissatisfied

20.9

 4. Strongly dissatisfied

36.8

 5. Don’t know

10.7

Q 20. If there would be soon new presidential elections for the Palestinian Authority, in which Mr. Mahmoud Abbas would run for Fateh and Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh for Hamas, for whom would you vote?

Response

Percentage

 1. For Mr. Mahmoud Abbas

45.3

 2. For Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh

17.7

 3. I wouldn’t participate in the elections

28.5

 4. I don’t know / no opinion

8.4

Q 21.  If Mr. Mahmoud Abbas would run in the presidential elections versus Mr. Salam Fayyad, for whom would you cast your vote?

Response

Percentage

 1. For Mr. Mahmoud Abbas

42.1

 2. For Mr. Salam Fayyad

8.5

 3. I wouldn’t participate in the elections

36.1

 4. I don’t know / no opinion

13.2

Q 22. Hamas contested the legitimacy of the Elections’ Central Committee chaired by Dr. Hanna Nasser, closed the ECC offices in Gaza Strip and prevented ECC from preparing for the general elections constitutionally scheduled for January 24th, 2010. Do you support or oppose Hamas in doing so?

Response

Percentage

 1. Support

15.8

 2. Oppose

71.3

 3. Don’t know

12.9

Q 23. Do you support the stay of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas in his office as President of the Palestinian Authority after the scheduled January 24th, 2010 or the handing-over of his office to Mr. Aziz Adduwaik, chairman of the Palestinian Legislative Council, until new presidential elections are held?

Response

Percentage

 1. I support the handing over of the office to Mr. Aziz Adduwaik

21.4

 2. I support the stay of Mr. Abbas in his office

53.6

 3. Don’t know

25.0

Q 24.  Some people think that Hamas should run in the political and legislative elections if these were held next year. Others oppose the participation of  Hamas in the coming elections. Which of the two attitudes is closes to your Opinion?

Response

Percentage

 1. Support Hamas participation in the elections

46.2

 2. Oppose Hamas participation in the elections

44.0

 3. I don’t know / refuse to respond

9.8

Q 25. Who, from the following list, is your favorite candidate for the PA
Presidency in the next elections?

Response

Percentage

 1. Mahmoud Abbas

27.0

 2. Ismael Haniyyeh

9.8

 3. Ahmed Qurai (Abu Ala’)

0.4

 4. Marwan Barghouthi

15.3

 5. Mahmoud Azzahhar

1.5

 6. Aziz Adduwaik

4.2

 7. Mustapha Barghouthi

2.9

 8. Salam Fayyad

4.0

 9. Khaled Mish’al

2.0

 10. Mohammed Dahlan

8.5

 11. Taysir Khaled      

1.1

 12. Jibril Arrjoub

0.3

 13. Sari Nusaibeh

0.3

 14. Other (please specify): _____

2.3

 15. I don’t know

20.5

Q 26.  How would you evaluate the situation of the Palestinian security at present in Gaza Strip?

Response

Percentage

 1. Very good

7.8

 2. Good

19.5

 3. Mediocre

17.4

 4. Bad           

17.3

 5. Very bad

37.4

 6. I don’t know

0.5

Q 27.  How would you rate your economic situation in general? 

Response

Percentage

 1. Good

13.9

 2. Mediocre

34.2

 3. Bad

51.2

 4. I don’t know

0.8

Q 28. Up to which extent are you worried at present about the subsistence of your family?

Response

Percentage

 1. Very much worried

34.5

 2. Worried

41.2

 3. Not so much worried

16.4

 4. Not worried at all

7.0

 5. Don’t know

0.8

Q 29. What is your main concern at present?             

Response

Percentage

 1. Job / money

23.0

 2. Security

38.3

 3. Health

16.2

 4. The future

22.5

Q 30.  Given an assessment scale from (1) to (10), where (1) stands for "very much dissatisfied" and (10) for "very much satisfied", how would you assess your satisfaction or dissatisfaction, in general, with the life you're living?

Answer from (1) to (10): The outcome was in average: 4.37

Response

Percentage

0

0.3

1

21.1

2

9.8

3

0.1

3

10.0

4

8.5

5

18.6

6

10.0

7

8.4

8

4.7

9

2.6

10

5.7

11

0.1

14

0.1

Q 31. Now think of the future, and particularly when your children become in your age. Do you think there would be ever peace between Israelis and the Palestinians?

Response

Percentage

 1. Yes, definitely

1.7

 2. Yes, likely

31.5

 3. Possible

21.3

 4. Unlikely

8.9

 5. Definitely, no

27.6

 6. Don’t know

9.0

Q 32. If the immigration possibility to the West would be open to you, would you immigrate or stay in your country?

Response

Percentage

 1. I would stay

57.4

 2. I would immigrate

40.2

 3. I don’t know

2.5

Q 33. How do you evaluate the economic situation in Gaza Strip, in general, under the government of Ismael Haniyyeh?

Response

Percentage

 1. Has improved

8.6

 2. Has deteriorated

70.7

 3. Remained unchanged

18.6

 4. Don’t know

2.1

Q 34. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the resumption of the peace negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis?

Response

Percentage

 1. I strongly support it

15.2

 2. I somewhat support it

48.9

 3. I somewhat oppose it

15.6

 4. I strongly oppose it

11.1

 5. I don’t know

6.2

 6. Refused

3.0

Q 35. Do you support or oppose the stay of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas in his office as President of the Palestinian Authority up till new presidential elections are held?

                        Response

Percentage

 1. Support

57.6

 2. Oppose

28.3

 3. Don’t know

14.1

Q 36. In general, up to which extent do you trust what you read or hear from poll results? to a great extent, to a fair extent, not to such an extent or absolutely not at all?

Response

Percentage

 1. To a great extent

18.0

 2. To a fair extent

51.7

 3. Not to such an extent

22.4

 4. Absolutely not at all

4.7

 5. No opinion

3.2

Q 37. Do you favor or oppose the unilateral proclamation of a Palestinian state?

Response

Percentage

 1. Favor

45.9

 2. Oppose

39.2

 3. Don’t know / refuse

14.9

Q 38. What is the utmost priority from your own point of view?

Response

Percentage

 1. Reunion of the West Bank and Gaza Strip

48.2

 2. Reconstruction of what has been destroyed by the Israeli excursion in Gaza Strip

21.2

 3. Back to the calm and the opening of the border crossings to Gaza Strip

29.0

 4. I have no opinion / I don’t know

1.6

Q 39. There are lot of strategic concepts for the resolution of the conflict in the region and the self-determination of the Palestinian people. What is your evaluation to each of the following?

Response

Percentage

 1. One democratic state on the soil of  the whole historical Palestine, in which      all its citizens should enjoy the same rights without religious, ethnic, racial or gender discrimination.

62.5

 2. Two states, one Palestinian, the other Israeli, live in peaceful coexistence side by side as good neighbors (in conformity with the resolution of the Palestinian National Council of 1988 and the UN-Resolution no. 242).

36.8

 3. I don’t know

0.7

Q 40. In case all efforts fail to reach a settlement aiming at the revival of peace, which of the following options is most likely to take place on the Palestinian side:

Response

Percentage

 1. Unilateral proclamation of a Palestinian state and escalation of the violent resistance.

37.3

 2. Dissolution of the Palestinian Authority and putting the world before the responsibilities for the jurisdiction vacuum resulting from the dissolution of the Palestinian Authority and the steering of the resistance by the Palestinian factions.

38.0

 3. Keep the status quo, i.e. the Palestinian Authority, beside developing new strategies to conduct the Palestinian affairs.

24.0

 4. I don’t know

0.7

Q 41. With the internal schism between Fateh and Hamas in the background, which of the following scenarios deem most likely to force itself on the internal Palestinian landscape: 

Response

Percentage

 1. The status quo remains. Limited crises and clashes.

11.1

 2. The prevailing situation explodes to a situation similar to that of the civil war.

4.6

 3. A political deal between the factions, particularly between Fateh and Hamas,
 is reached as to settle the disputes between them without applying violence.

70.3

 4. The political, security and economic crises escalate to the collapse of the    Palestinian Authority.

7.9

 5. Gaza Strip will be cut off from the west Bank.

5.4

 6. I don’t know

0.7

Q 42. In the shadow of the prevailing conflict between Fateh and Hamas, do you think there is a necessity for a third political stream, which could be able to end the Palestinian plague?

Response

Percentage

 1. Yes, there is a necessity for such a stream

21.6

 2. No, there is no necessity for such a stream

65.8

 3. I don’t know

12.6

Methodology of the Survey Study:

"All interviews took place on the basis of random choices of respondents' homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at least five hours a’ day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper presentation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using the Last Birthday Method. ", Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research & Studies Section at the PCPO, said. The choices were taken from a Percentage of (102) sites located in Gaza Strip.

These sites are randomly chosen in accordance with PCPO's long experienced methodology. The sampling error throughout the survey is found at (±2.57%) at a confidence level of (95 %). Elias Kukali added "the percentage of female respondents was (47.9%) whereas that of the male respondents reached (52.1%). The average age of the sample respondents was (32.4) years.

Mr. E. Kukali further pointed out that the allocation of the sample in respect of the type of residence was as follows: (60.8%) city, (4.8%) village and (34.4%) refugee camp.

About PCPO:

The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) was founded in February 1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who became the director of this center since that time.

Since that time we are dedicated to the following activities:

1) Conducting public opinion surveys.
2) Omnibus polls and services.
3) Market studies on all kinds of trading activities.
4) Surveys of consumer attitudes, consumption habits, and market shares.
Communication researches.
5) Focus group sessions and workshops on various topics.
6) Rendering services in the field of investment, including feasibility studies.
7) In-depth interviews & brainstorming workshops.
8) Translation services from Arabic into English, German & Hebrew and vice-versa.

PCPO is now a name for reliability, credibility and experience not only in Palestine, but all over the world.