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Poll No. 144
Date: 09 November, 2005

Dear Madam,
Dear Sir,

This present poll is focusing on probing the inclinations of the Palestinians about a variety of issues of current interest. First to know is their feelings about the late president, Mr. Yassir Arafat, and how much they miss him one year after his departure on 11.11.2004. The second important issue is the calm period with Israel and the question of the PA sovereignty. The third is Hadera bombing attack and the peace with Israel, and last not least, the fourth issue of the Palestinians attitude towards the European Community controlling the borders between Gaza and Egypt.

Finally we would like you to know that this poll has been totally financed by the Center's own means and resources.

Please feel quite free to contact us if you have any questions or inquiry on any subject, please don't hesitate to contact us immediately.

With our good wishes and best regards,

Dr. Nabil Kukali
Director of PCPO

One year after the departure of the late president Yassir Arafat, a public opinion poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and published by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) has revealed that:

(79.8%) Believe that the position of the late President Yassir Arafat is 
              still firm in their intuition.

(73.5%) Are missing the late President Yassir Arafat one year after
              his departure.

(59.9%) Agree to the renewal of the calm period with Israel.

(61.0%) Trust the European Community to control and administer
              the borders between Gaza and Egypt.

(72.1%) Support at various degrees the PA President Mr. Mahmoud 
              Abbas.

From Majd Kokaly – Information Section

In the latest poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and published by PCPO during the period from (5 – 8) November 2005, a random sample of 825 adult Palestinians over 18 years old representing the various demographic specimen from the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip has been face to face interviewed. The survey result has revealed that (73.5%) of the Palestinians are missing the late President Yassir Arafat one year after his departure. "The most important finding the poll has disclosed is that the majority of the Palestinians feel the position of late president Yassir Arafat is still firm in their intuition", Dr. Kukali said. "The majority of the Palestinians also, namely (59.9%), support the renewal of the calm period with Israel expiring at the end of this current year", Dr. Kukali added.

It is furthermore established that there is a fall in the support of the calm period at the rate of (17%) compared with the previous poll. This could be attributed to the Israeli actions, such as the shelling of Gaza and the siege of the towns and villages in the West Bank; add thereto the house raids, assassinations, detentions and the road blocks. The results of this present poll reveal also that the response to the renewal of the calm period is among the citizens of Gaza Strip with (75.1%) remarkably higher than that in the West Bank at (51.2%)

He further pointed out that the overwhelming majority of the Palestinians trusts the European Community as controller of the borders between Gaza and Egypt and that (61%) support to different extents President Mahmoud Abbas.  Dr. Kukali concluded his comments by saying that (70%) of the Palestinians disagree with the recent Hadera bombing.

 “All interviews took place on the basis of random choices of respondent’s homes, i.e. face to face”, Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research & Studies Section at the PCPO, said. The choices were takes from a total of (120) election sites. These election sites are randomly chosen by using the method of the simple random sample. These sites in turn were the beginning of the random sample choice made from those regions in accordance with PCPO’s long experienced methodology. The sampling error throughout the survey is found at (± 3.41%). Elias Kukali added "the percentage of female respondents was (48.8%) whereas that of the male respondents reached (51.2%). 

He said that the composition of the sample according to the type of residence was as follows: (48.7%) city, (34.8%) village, (16.5%) refugee camp. Elias kukali added that the distribution of the random sample among the residential areas of the respondents was (64%) in the West Bank, incl. East Jerusalem, and (36%) in Gaza Strip.

Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

1) One year after the departure of the late president Mr. Yassir Arafat. Do you think his position is still firm in your intuition?   

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes, too much

51.5%

2.  Yes, to some extent

28.3%

3.  Yes, a little

16.4%

4.  No, not at all

3.4%

5.  Don't know

0.4%

2) Do you miss the late president Mr. Yassir Arafat a year after he passed away?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes, too much

47.0%

2.  Yes, to some extent

26.5%

3.  Yes, a little

21.3%

4.  No, not at all

4.9%

5.  Don't know

0.3%

3) Some people in the West Bank and Gaza Strip agree to the renewal of the calm period with Israel, which will terminate, according to the Declaration of Cairo, at the end of this running year.  Some, however, object to its renewal.  Which of the two attitudes is nearer to your point of view?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  With the renewal of the calm period

59.9%

2.  Against the renewal of the calm period

32.0%

3.  I have no opinion

8.1%

4) Do you think that the last bombing attack, which struck a market in Hadera, serves the Palestinian national interest at the present, or not?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes, it does

20.4%

2.  No, it doesn't

70.0%

3.  Don't know

9.6%

5) In an interview with PNA (Palestinian News Agency), President Mahmoud Abbas said that "the elections of the Palestinian Legislative Council with a wide political participation will put, must put an ultimate end to the different other legislations. It will not be tolerated any more - after the PLC-elections and after the people have said their word - that somebody wears the garments of another by any kind of legislation except that resulting from the ballot-boxes".  Do you agree or disagree with this statement?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Strongly agree

31.5%

2.  Somewhat agree

45.0%

3.  Somewhat disagree

10.1%

4.  Strongly disagree 

7.2%

5.  Don't know

6.2%

6) The Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mr. Franco Feni, said in a press interview that "the PA President Mr. Mahmoud Abbas is the only one who is capable of achieving peace with Israel. There is no better negotiator than him". Do you agree with him about that statement, or not?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Strongly agree

22.6%

2.  Somewhat agree

40.9%

3.  Somewhat disagree

24.5%

4.  Strongly disagree 

6.2%

5.  Don't know

5.8%

7) What is the degree of your support at present to Mr. Mahmoud Abbas?

Response

February 15, 2005

November 09,2005

1.  Strongly support him

23.2%

22.3%

2.  Somewhat support him

48.1%

49.8%

3.  Somewhat don't support him 

13.8%

16.8%

4.  Strongly don't support him

11.5%

7.3%

5.  Don't know

3.4%

3.8%

8) How likely is it that there will be peace with the Israelis in the near future?

Response

09 Feb 2004

18 Oct 2004

November 09,2005

1. Very likely

7.8%

8.5%

7.3%

2. Somewhat likely

40.9%

38.1%

41.1%

3. Somewhat unlikely

25.0%

22.8%

31.0%

4. Very unlikely

15.7%

20.5%

16.4%

5. Refused-do not read

10.6%

10.1%

4.2%

9) The European Community expressed its readiness to control the borders between Gaza and Egypt and to administer these efficiently until Rafah border crossing is opened. To which extent do you trust the Europeans that they are working to the benefit of the Palestinians?

Response

November 09,2005

1. I trust them at a very high degree

8.3%

2. I trust them at a high degree

30.5%

3. I trust them at ac moderate degree

22.2%

4. I trust them at a low degree

13.7%

5. I don't trust them at all

21.6%

6. Don't know

3.7%

10) Bregadier-general Jibreel El-Rujoub, the PA-president's counselor for security affairs, said that "any reaction to Israeli practices in Gaza and the West Bank falls under the competence of the Palestinian Authority", criticizing thereby the attacks carried out by the militant factions as retaliation for the Israeli aggressions.  Do you agree or disagree with this statement?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Strongly agree

14.6%

2.  Somewhat agree

36.9%

3.  Somewhat disagree

26.7%

4.  Strongly disagree 

16.3%

5.  Don't know

5.5%

11) In a declaration published by IMRA Press Institution, the Israeli Minister of Defence Shaoul Mofaz, said on Wednesday, 02.11.2005, that "Israel will not prevent Hamas from participating in the coming PLC elections". Do you think that this change in the Israeli attitude would enhance the peace chances in the region, or not? 

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Certainly yes

10.9%

2.  I think, yes

46.0%

3.  I don’t think so

26.6%

4.  Certainly no

12.1%

5.  Don't know

4.4%

12) Would you be interested in relocating to Gaza if given a job, Home and some capital?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes

11.0%

2.  No

86.5%

3.  Don't know

2.5%

13) Do you have immediate relatives such as siblings, parents, Grandparents, first cousins only in Gaza?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes

6.6%

2.  No

90.5%

3.  Don't know

2.9%

14) Would you be interested in relocating to West Bank if given a job, Home and some capital?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes

44.1%

2.  No

53.2%

3.  Don't know

2.7%

15) Do you have immediate relatives such as siblings, parents, Grandparents, first cousins only in West Bank?

Response

November 09,2005

1.  Yes

23.9%

2.  No

76.0%

3.  Don't know

0.1%

PCPO Profile

The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) was founded in February 1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who became the director of this center since that time. After the arrival of the Palestinian Authority (PA), the PCPO was registered as a research center under license number (Am/2).  The Palestinian Ministry of Information issued the license that permits establishing satellite offices elsewhere in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Since that time we are dedicated to the following activities:

a. Conducting public opinion surveys
b. Omnibus polls and services
c. Market studies on all kinds of trading activities
d. Communication researches
e. Workshops and focus group sessions on various topics
f. Rendering services in the field of investment, including feasibility studies
g. Translation services from Arabic into English, German & Hebrew and vice-versa.

PCPO is now a name not only in Palestine, but all over the world, for reliability, credibility and experience.